Mamata Banerjee is effectively on her approach to registering a thumping victory for the Trinamool Congress within the West Bengal Elections 2021. The BJP, which was anticipating to create historical past, has acquired a shocking setback with its vote-share lowering from 2019.
The get together would possibly search for some comfort in one thing or the opposite however, fact be instructed, there isn’t any. There is not any approach to spin this, the outcomes had been disastrous for the BJP. Nevertheless, there are specific elements that went in opposition to the BJP looking back.
Hyperfocus on Matuas and Mahisyas didn’t repay
The hyperfocus on the Matua and Mahisya neighborhood doesn’t seem to have paid off. Matua dominated constituencies are being gained by the Trinamool Congress as of this second. The Mahisyas dominate South Bengal and that’s the place the BJP derived its core energy from in 2019.
But even there, the Trinamool Congress has managed to make large inroads. Simultaneously, the hyperfocus on particular person identities deflected from the BJP’s main hopes on Hindu consolidation. The web impact was clearly unfavorable for the BJP.
No native chief to match Mamata Banerjee
This is extra apparent. The Bengal BJP doesn’t have any chief to match the incumbent Chief Minister’s stature in Bengal politics. True, leaders equivalent to Dilip Ghosh, Locket Chatterjee and a few others are well-liked within the state. But they’re clearly no match for Mamata Banerjee.
The greatest mass chief within the state is Suvendu Adhikari, and he’s somebody who joined the BJP very lately. On its personal, it simply didn’t have anybody to match Banerjee. With Prime Minister Modi not on the poll within the Assembly Elections, the get together paid the value.
It can also be to be famous that there have been probably some BJP voters in 2019 who most popular Narendra Modi as Prime Minister however Mamata Banerjee as Chief Minister. If such voters had been even 3-4% of the citizens, that is sufficient to change the fortunes of the get together fully.
Intra-party angst on account of inflow of TMC turncoats
The inclusion of quite a few Trinamool leaders within the get together created some angst among the many employees of the get together. The employees had horrible relationships with a few of these leaders. Some of the TMC turncoats themselves had fomented violence in opposition to BJP employees.
Therefore, the inclusion of such leaders within the get together is more likely to have angered employees on the bottom. It is unclear the extent to which it affected the get together’s destiny in Bengal.
Inclusion of TMC turncoats denting picture
The inclusion of TMC turncoats into the get together might need even dented the BJP’s picture amongst voters. There had been doubts raised by some that a few of these leaders had been corrupt and had a unfavorable notion among the many citizens.
At the time, it appeared that the inclusion of such leaders was sinking the TMC boat and awarded the momentum to the BJP. But looking back, it might have labored the opposite manner as effectively.
Non-implementation of CAA
The CAA was handed late in 2019 and one and a half years later, the legislation has nonetheless not been carried out. The delay in implementation of the legislation has been attributed to the Coronavirus disaster and it has been promised that will probably be carried out as quickly because the disaster was handled.
But the citizens on the bottom can’t be blamed for not caring about such particulars. Meanwhile, the Trinamool authorities in Bengal introduced a number of schemes for the Matuas, the neighborhood most affected by the legislation.
Thus, whereas the neighborhood acquired concrete advantages from the TMC, all they acquired from the BJP had been guarantees within the summary that had not but been carried out. The voting sample in Matua dominated constituencies does point out that the delay in CAA affected the outcomes.
Ticket distribution
Certain individuals related to the BJP had raised points with the ticket distribution within the polls. It was mentioned that many who had labored laborious for the get together had been sidelined whereas turncoats and celebrities had been awarded the ticket in key seats.
For occasion, in Behala Purba, Sovan Chatterjee, who’s a TMC turncoat himself, didn’t obtain a ticket and it was as an alternative awarded to celeb Payal Sarkar. That had precipitated important anguish amongst Chatterjee’s supporters. Sovan Chatterjee had give up the get together as effectively.
All in all, every part that might go improper for the BJP seems to have gone improper. And every part that Mamata Banerjee wanted to work in her favour did work.