‘The destiny of the farmers’ motion is like Shaheenbagh’… Is BJP making a mistake in assessing the problem of the protesters in western UP?

In Uttar Pradesh, the farmers’ mahapanchayat has as soon as once more began vigorously towards the federal government. In Muzaffarnagar’s GIC floor, farmers have brazenly stated that if the federal government doesn’t take heed to them, then BJP will likely be ousted from energy in UP and Uttarakhand. While the farmers have launched a marketing campaign of Khilafat towards BJP, the federal government’s deputy CM Keshav Prasad Maurya has stated that the destiny of the farmers’ motion may also be like that of Shaheen Bagh. However, political consultants are expressing shock over the truth that BJP is under-estimating the farmers’ motion and its impression could also be on 2022 elections. Keshav Prasad Maurya informed the media after considered one of his applications in Kanpur on Sunday. Talking about it, he stated, ‘There are individuals from SP, BSP and Congress within the farmers’ motion. Just as Shaheen Bagh broke down, so would the farmers’ motion. There are elections forward, it is going to be clear with whom the general public is standing. We have defeated them in 2019 additionally and the identical will occur this time too. Political consultants are contemplating this assertion of Keshav Prasad Maurya as overconfidence. Senior journalist Ravindra Srivastava, who has been editor of newspapers in western UP for a very long time, says that there’s a massive distinction between Shaheenbagh and the farmers’ motion which the BJP persons are not capable of perceive. Influence of demonstrations from the time of Mahendra Tikait Describing the farmers motion, Ravindra Srivastava says, “I’ve been a witness to the actions of Mahendra Singh Tikait and his group for a very long time. Baba Tikait has affect in western UP, on the background of which Rakesh Tikait and Naresh Tikait are operating the motion of United Kisan Morcha. This is a corporation of such farmers of western Uttar Pradesh, who’ve affect on the farmers in addition to on the castes. No one knew the individuals of Shaheenbagh earlier than, however the farmers of western UP have seen demonstrations and agitations for many years beneath the management of the Tikait household. In such a state of affairs, it will be mistaken to say that the protesters of each Shaheen Bagh and the farmers’ motion are the identical.’ Background of leaders like Kisanchoudhary Charan Singh and Mahendra Tikait going to the Muzaffarnagar Kisan Mahapanchayat, Ravindra Srivastava says concerning the farmers’ panchayat in Muzaffarnagar, says Rakesh Tikait has intentionally chosen the realm the place the farmers union has probably the most affect. The farmer of the western UP soil has been well-known for his anti-incumbency angle. With the background of grassroots leaders like Chaudhary Charan Singh, this space has been a land of anti-incumbency. Even throughout the heyday of Indira Gandhi, this land was recognized for its angle of revolt, wherein the members of the Tikait household had been additionally concerned. ‘Slight mistake could cause injury’ Shaheen Bagh’s motion stood in a number of weeks and later lots of its individuals joined the BJP. Underestimating the farmers can be mistaken. In Bengal, Mamata Banerjee can lose the election on the soil of her agitation by 1700 votes, so are the strongholds of BJP. Even a slight vote shift can do hurt within the meeting elections, see the instance the place a slight breakdown in TMC voters in Bengal might result in BJP. Lakhs of individuals gathered within the Kisan Mahapanchayat, who misplaced on 9 in 2019, out of which 6 West UP seat Keshav Prasad Maurya has stated in his assertion that he has defeated the opposition within the 2019 elections. This could also be true, however Keshav Prasad Maurya is forgetting such a political image, wherein he has additionally misplaced 9 Lok Sabha seats. The massive factor is that out of the 9 seats that BJP has diminished in 2019 as in comparison with 2014, 6 seats are from West UP. These embrace the seats of Bijnor, Nagina, Moradabad, Rampur, Sambhal, Amroha. Whereas in areas like Muzaffarnagar, the place Union Minister Sanjeev Baliyan himself is a member of the Khap Panchayat, the BJP might win by a margin of solely 6526 votes. Kalyan and Hukum Singh’s time shouldn’t be nowNarvindra Srivastava says that BJP is under-estimating the impression of farmers. It needs to be understood that even a neighborhood protest within the meeting modifications the equation of victory and defeat. In the background of the previous, the BJP has been profitable 20-25 seats just like the opposition celebration in western UP, even at a time when it used to have leaders like Kalyan Singh and Hukum Singh. Now the state of affairs is completely different, in such a state of affairs, it won’t be an exaggeration to say that farmers ought to adversely have an effect on the victory of BJP in 2022. Farmers’ agitation, Tikait’s tears and BJP’s overconfidence can injury the celebration. .