A significant expansion of China’s nuclear capabilities has been highlighted, leading experts to warn of a potential strategy involving “nuclear blackmail.” Beijing’s recent military parade showcased advanced nuclear-ready missiles, signaling a more aggressive stance on the global stage.
The unveiling of the JL-1, JL-3, and DF-61 missiles completes China’s nuclear triad, providing comprehensive delivery options from air, sea, and land. This development represents a substantial increase in China’s ability to project nuclear power and has been characterized by some as preparation for nuclear use rather than just deterrence, reminiscent of Cold War tensions.
Experts suggest this nuclear buildup is intrinsically linked to China’s aspirations regarding Taiwan. The strategy appears to involve creating a security environment where China can undertake conventional military action, such as invading Taiwan, while simultaneously deterring foreign intervention through the threat of nuclear escalation. This could involve the deployment of tactical nuclear weapons to intimidate opposing forces in the region.
This coercive nuclear strategy is reportedly being studied from Russia’s approach to the Ukraine war, where nuclear threats were perceived as a key factor in limiting direct military aid from Western powers. This suggests China might employ similar tactics to deter involvement in its regional conflicts.
The global implications are profound. If China can achieve its objectives, such as annexing Taiwan, by leveraging nuclear threats, it could dismantle existing security frameworks and inspire similar actions from other nuclear-armed states. This necessitates increased awareness and strategic adaptation for nations like India, which could face direct nuclear coercion.