India’s economy is poised for a stellar performance, with SBI Research anticipating GDP expansion of 8-8.1 percent in the third quarter of FY2025-26. This projection, unveiled amid global volatility, highlights the subcontinent’s unyielding momentum.
Robust high-frequency indicators confirm that economic pulses stayed strong from October to December 2025. Village-level demand thrives on solid agri-performance and rural enterprises, while metros witness a festive-fueled urban spending revival aided by fiscal measures.
SBI’s Dr. Soumya Kanti Ghosh emphasized, ‘Rural demand’s resilience, coupled with urban uptick from policy support, signals broad-based growth.’ FY26’s headline figure stands at 7.4 percent, anchored by vigorous homegrown consumption.
Excitement builds for the GDP base year transition to 2022-23, effective February 27 release. Syncing CPI to 2024, it will spotlight digital and service booms, weaving in GST data, EV registrations, and energy consumption for sharper informal sector insights.
This could cement India’s position as the world’s fourth-biggest economy, though exact revision impacts are elusive given the overhaul. Expect second advance FY26 estimates, prior years’ revisions, and new quarterly baselines soon.
Per the Economic Survey, India’s growth potential hovers at 7 percent, eyeing 6.8-7.2 percent in FY27. Against a world grappling with 3.3 percent growth, strained by politics, debts, and green-digital pivots, India’s trajectory exemplifies strategic foresight and domestic vitality.