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Jharkhand’s political landscape is abuzz with speculation following the Bihar elections, which seem to have prompted a significant strategic review for the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM). The party claims to have faced considerable “betrayal” in the Bihar electoral arena, forcing a reversal of its decision to contest and leading to its separation from the Mahagathbandhan.
This development leaves JMM leaders contemplating their next steps. A prevailing view suggests that the alleged mistreatment by Congress and RJD in Bihar should be met with a decisive break in Jharkhand. Dissolving the current alliance is being discussed as a means of avenging the perceived injustice.
If JMM decides to break away, it will face a critical strategic choice. One option is to actively seek to divide the Congress and RJD legislative parties, aiming to consolidate a significant bloc of MLAs. Chief Minister Hemant Soren, recognized for his political dexterity, could potentially orchestrate this, particularly since many coalition partners’ MLAs in Jharkhand are perceived to be politically dependent on JMM’s influence, with their respective parties lacking a strong independent base.
A less confrontational approach would see JMM maintaining the current alliance, using the specter of its dissolution to exert control over Congress and RJD. This would allow Hemant Soren to continue steering the government according to his agenda, while minimizing the input from his coalition partners.
Another potential path, albeit a significant one, is an alliance with the BJP. There are indications of ongoing dialogue between BJP strategists and JMM officials, who are reportedly waiting for the right moment to form a coalition. The final decision lies with Hemant Soren, with the Bihar election results and subsequent political maneuvering through November likely to shape his choice.