2024 General Elections: Three situations are more likely to play out and Mamata will play an important function

Trinamool Congress (TMC) led by Mamata Banerjee final month inflicted a heavy defeat upon BJP and humbled the social gathering which carried an air of invincibility into the elections. Since then, murmurs have been rising in tempo to undertaking Mamata because the chief of the opposition to tackle Prime Minister Narendra Modi, come the 2024 General elections. However, as we have now seen quite a few instances prior to now, the potential for formulating a 3rd entrance has been as unattainable as Congress appointing a non-Gandhi head because the social gathering chief. That being mentioned, three potentialities have been posited that might transpire within the subsequent elections the place Mamata might inadvertently play an essential half.Before starting, let’s contact all of the bases as to which political leaders throughout the nation have actually managed to oust BJP within the final seven years. A fast look reveals that the most important setbacks for BJP have been Bihar-2015 underneath Nitish Kumar, Delhi-2019 underneath Arvind Kejriwal and now West Bengal in 2021.The first two leaders are, nonetheless, a pale shadow of their former selves. Nitish has returned to the NDA fold and is clutching onto the final straw of his political profession. Meanwhile, Kejriwal and his horrible political gameplay have been starkly uncovered and he isn’t even half the chief he was when he took the plunge into the cesspool of politics, claiming to usher the nation into a brand new period of ‘honest’ ad-free politics.Perhaps, that solely leaves Mamata because the tallest chief amongst the lot. And following are the three permutations that come up from such a state of affairs.Scenario 1: Congress accepts Mamata because the opposition chiefScenario 2: Congress rejects Mamata as their chief and goes to elections with outdated allies just like the DMK and RJDScenario 3: Mamata takes a backseat and Rahul turns into the principle opposition faceQueen’s massive victory, the fallen kingdom, avaricious nobodies, bards, paupers and the mighty emperor ( A thread).Here, I’ll discuss Queen Mamata’s massive victory, the fallen kingdom Congress’ future, avaricious nobodies and their recreation, bards and paupers and emperor Modi’s destiny.— Atul Mishra (@TheAtulMishra) June 12, 2021Scenario-1 and Scenario-3Congress may need taken a dig on the BJP after shedding in West Bengal by coaching its weapons on the shoulders of Mamata however in ‘reality’, the grand outdated social gathering is assuredly not going to yield its allegiance to a non-Congress chief. The social gathering is simply too inflexible in its construction to permit Mamata to take the centre stage and push its social gathering prince Rahul Gandhi to the fringes. Thus, the primary assumption and its implementation appear fairly bleak at this stage.However, since we’re dealing in hypotheticals, we let our imaginations run wild and assume that Mamata receives the nod from the Gandhi clan to go forward. Thus for the primary time, the TMC supremo will probably be up and towards PM Modi on the nationwide turf. Quite naturally, it is going to be a Hindu Vs Muslim contest with Hindu voters overpowering Muslim voters.Despite the taut rhetoric from Mamata and TMC, it is going to be a humongous victory for the BJP. Secondly, despite the fact that Mamata has monumental clout amongst her Bengali vote base, she remains to be thought-about a rogue chief exterior her dwelling. The voters gained’t be voting for a frontrunner who doesn’t match the traditional mould of a nationwide chief. And definitely not for one who has a penchant for partaking in political killings, even after successful an election.Read More: Mamata’s fascism continues: TMC goons assault CBI workplace, name for Governor to depart West BengalThe scenario-3 can also be destined for an ill-fated finish because the opposition comprehends that projecting Rahul because the face of the opposition could possibly be disastrous if the earlier two cases are any indication.However, in situation 3, the opposition bloc will carry out higher than situation 1 however a victory for the BJP will nonetheless be massive. Congress will emerge because the second-biggest social gathering after the BJP and the regional satraps will carry out properly of their bastions. It will probably be a repeat of the 2019 outcomes.Scenario-2The most real looking set-piece that the opposition is anticipated to take is repeating its 2019 election technique. Congress torpedoes forward, claiming to be the principal opposition social gathering whereas trusted lieutenants like NCP, SP, DMK, CPM and RJD converge from the flanks. On the opposite hand, Mamata buoyed by her electoral victory varieties a suicide squad with SS, JDS, AAP, SAD, TRS, YSRCP, IUML and others.With your entire opposition parking its bus, BJP has a second or two of trepidation however it rapidly goes into cruise management mode and manages to penetrate the defence. Although it loses out on few seats, in comparison with the earlier Lok Sabha elections, it nonetheless manages to emerge as the most important social gathering with TMC coming second whereas Congress lurking someplace behind, scrimmaging round for scraps.All three situations level in the direction of an NDA victory and a 3rd consecutive time period for PM Narendra Modi. No matter how a lot the left-liberal media tries to bat for a ‘third front with opposition political parties coalescing together under one umbrella’, it nonetheless stays a pipe dream.The reality of the matter is that PM Modi and his gargantuan stature dwarfs the opposite political leaders. And as unhappy because the realisation is, the nation is devoid of a powerful opposition chief that may problem him on the nationwide degree. Sure Mamata and her ilk can thump their chests for defeating BJP within the meeting election however not often does a state electoral victory by a regional social gathering translate right into a victory on the nationwide degree. The Modi juggernaut runs riot.