Why no pollster can get Bengal proper ever

As the exit polls have been declared yesterday night, the pollsters have been divided over the outcomes of the West Bengal meeting election. Many declared hung meeting, just a few gave victory to BJP, and some to TMC, whereas some others like Axis-My India stored the ends in a variety that had no clear verdict.While the results of all different states that went into polls – Assam, Kerala, TamilNadu, Puducherry – have been very clear within the chart of each polling company, there was confusion concerning the West Bengal meeting election with only a few businesses declaring clear victory for any celebration. And, there’s a very peculiar purpose behind this.Given the historical past of political violence in West Bengal, the voters both don’t inform which celebration they’ve voted for or simply lie about it. Because, a voice of fact in entrance of the digital camera can price them their lives, job, or some other factor expensive to them.The state has a really lengthy historical past of political violence, beginning after the Communist events got here to energy within the mid-70s. The rise of Naxalism additional contributed to political violence within the state; Naxals used to kill individuals only for exercising their proper to vote as a result of they don’t imagine within the authority of the Indian state, no matter the celebration (even individuals voting for Communist events weren’t acceptable to them).Moreover, the Communist celebration itself promoted political violence – from sales space capturing to the killing of opposition leaders – to ascertain its monopoly within the state. The Communist events additionally ended the distinction between the celebration and the federal government, so the police stations and the places of work have been being run by celebration officers not authorities officers and Mamata continued this follow.Even within the 2021 meeting election, the TMC goons have been on a rampage to destroy any one that stood for BJP. The convoys of a lot of the senior leaders together with BJP nationwide president J P Nadda, BJP state president Dilip Ghosh, the opponent of Mamata Banerjee Suvendu Adhikari have been attacked by TMC goons.Read More: With eight days left within the outcomes, Mamata is purposefully creating issues for the BJP, leaving West Bengal within the lurchIn multiple 12 months of the marketing campaign interval, greater than a dozen of BJP employees have been killed in numerous districts of West Bengal. In Nandigram, the TMC goons even raped the spouse of BJP karyakarta who was busy within the rally of Suvendu Adhikari and Amit Shah raised this challenge throughout the election. “After reaching here, I got a sad piece of news. A woman was raped within 5-km radius of the place where Mamata Banerjee is staying. If a woman can be raped at a time when she is present in the area, how can women be safe & secure?” mentioned the Union Home Minister.As per reviews, the sufferer’s husband is an lively employee of the BJP. He was threatened by TMC on a number of events up to now. According to him, he was busy collaborating within the election rally of BJP chief Suvendu Adhikari on Monday. On returning dwelling within the night, he discovered that his spouse had been lacking. Later, the BJP employee found that his spouse had been mendacity in an injured and unconscious state, behind his home in a canal.The tradition of political violence in West Bengal ensures no voter would truly inform which celebration she/he voted for, and given the very fact pollsters rely upon the data collected from voters to make predictions, no pollster can get the state proper. When the outcomes get declared on May 2, it will likely be fascinating to look at which pollster bought the outcomes proper regardless of the constraints that the state of West Bengal poses.